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01 October, 2005

ECSSR warns on Al Qaeda

An editorial by the UAE government-run Emirates Centre for Strategic Studies and Research, reported by Associated Press, warns that Al Qaeda is busy recruiting and sinking roots into the region:

"The United Arab Emirates has so far been spared even though it has been a key player in the U.S.-led war on terrorism. Authorities have arrested at least two alleged high-profile al-Qaida members, passed laws against money laundering and kept a close watch on Islamic charities.

"Terrorism specialists have said Dubai was an ideal logistical hub for al-Qaida because of its liberal, cosmopolitan lifestyle and freewheeling business rules. Other gulf states, such as Bahrain and Qatar, could also be targeted because of their close ties to the United States. Like Dubai, they are home to a huge expatriate work force."


The report doesn't single out any specific country as a target, but is warning of a collective danger to the growth and stability of the region:

"Despite all the regional disputes over Iraq, it must be agreed that defeating al-Qaida is an Arab and Islamic goal... . The result of the battle against terrorism in Iraq is linked to stability in the Middle East," the report said.

Labels: ,

33 Comments:

Blogger Night's Prowling said...

Exactly! Ive ranted on this but no one pays heed, they think its a hoax and unlikely to happen. Ha! I wonder how p.r.e.p.a.r.e.d. Dubai is for any given hostile situation. Time to leave this place I tell you! About time! Stability in this region, ha, my A%@!

Tommorow on 'Insider Edition', how the leader responsible for capturing Osama thinks its "not important" to capture him. Well well well, but you are the leader arent you you n%$#?! Nevertheless he has a point, the ideology will not die out. Maybe his followers will be frightened or it might just provoke them. Where are we heading??!! *shakes head in dismay*

01 October, 2005 01:19  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have been thinking of traveling to the ME but this news certainly does stop me for a second. Asides, traveling to ME is much easier for men,I think. Too bad these ME countries do not realize that half of the population is women!

01 October, 2005 02:22  
Blogger secretdubai said...

I have been thinking of traveling to the ME

Well this report shouldn't stop you, it's still far safer here than any major western capital (infinitely more when you factor in street crime such as mugging, which is still incredibly low here).

The report as I see it is more of a caution to regional authorities not to rest on their laurels, and to make sure that their young men in particular aren't being led astray.

01 October, 2005 03:40  
Blogger John B. Chilton said...

The AP story speaks of a "study" not just an "editorial."

If anyone finds the ECSSR - Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research study, please post the information here. Thanks.

Like Secret Dubai, I believe Dubai is less likely to be subjected to terrorist attack, than are Western capitals. But if there were to be an attack, I would reassess that belief and so would many others. The result on tourism and cost of retaining the skilled expat labor force could be large and lasting.

Like SD, I see the study as a healthy notice - that the UAE should be alert to the possibility of terrorism within its borders.

01 October, 2005 08:05  
Blogger Emirati said...

Nights prowling, we should have a retard competition to help you boost your ego by winning something.

Anyway, the situation as I see it, is that major terrorism is highly unlikely, because explosives on such a scale needed to carry it out cannot be smuggled inside without attracting attention.

01 October, 2005 08:35  
Blogger The Lady said...

How long before bubbleland bursts?

This is an eye-opening post, SD. Thanks.

01 October, 2005 08:39  
Anonymous Local Hero said...

Night Prowl. Maybe u should go stay on some tiny deserted island in the pacific because where else will you go? where is safe? London? Newyork? Washington? Perhaps Bali? Kenya? Madrid? maybe Dublin? Dumb ass. run you COWARD, but i dont know where you can go to be safe.

01 October, 2005 09:44  
Anonymous m&m said...

balushi

No wonder the German girl left you( Balushi comment to "Disgraceful Druz dad"). With such a ridiculously narrow-minded and absolutely unfounded and unsupported comments how do you expect a 'Western' girl to stay with you when the “The First Arab and Islamic Goal is to end the tyranny of Bush and US faced by the world!”.

This is a arab muslim speaking to you. It is such externally critical views, rather than critically analysing the internal situation of Islam and Arabs, that have demoted us to one of the least developed, volatile and suppressed regions in the world. You only need to look within to see where our biggest weaknesses and threats come from. HINT: FUNDAMENTALISM!

01 October, 2005 10:08  
Blogger Tim Newman said...

It is fairly common knowledge that there are al-Qaeda members originating from UAE, one of the 9/11 hijackers being the most prominent example.

01 October, 2005 10:16  
Blogger Hurricane_ said...

Emirati, I am sure NY , Madrid, London thought a major terrorism act was highly unlikely to be carried out in their cities. The personel required to carry out these attack are already in the region and can easily blend in, it would seem that it might be easier than you think.

01 October, 2005 10:33  
Blogger The Devil's Advocate said...

I agree with M&M.

Islamic fundametalist extremism has now become like the bad guy in a children's cartoon show.

I don't know if it's art imitating life or the other way around but whenever I think of Al Qaeda thoughts of Cobra from G.i.Joe, The decepticons from the transformers and Mumra from Thundercats spring to mind.

The Muslim and Arab countries societies have to take a stand against this imposing world threat. We have to stamp out racism, intolerance, insecurity, self-victimization, delusion and disillusionment. Literacy must be increased, wealth must be redistributed and we must focus inwards. From the times of The Ottomans the Arabs have always blamed someone for their lots in life. It's time we stood up and demanded more from ourselves being the "sick men of earth" (to paraphrase).

01 October, 2005 10:55  
Blogger Jassim said...

m&m. there is a difference between fundamentalism and extremism. my parents taught me the FUNDAMENTALS of islam when i was a child and it did not include killing innocent people. Get it right Mr 'i am an arab muslim with enlightend views'

tim newman. i missed your point. u c al qaeda operatives come from all nationalities, so i c no reason why there should b non from here.

hurricane. London knew they were at high risk from attack, they only did not know when. Madrid has always been at risk from attacks from their own seperatists and after 911 the local magribi people there. like london they knew it was only a matter of when not 'if' a major attack will happen. Only New York was unprepared for an attack

balushi has a point. al qaida have gained motivation to continue because Bush and his government has provided it for them.

finally, dubai should step up the security in this emirate and the rest of the country 100 times more. one attack, even a small one, could hurt us too much. inshallah inshallah this wont happen.

01 October, 2005 11:18  
Blogger Jassim said...

lol @ advocate. Megatron = Bin Laden. They even look alike.

01 October, 2005 11:21  
Blogger KJ said...

Hi

this was eye opening post...

01 October, 2005 11:39  
Blogger secretdubai said...

Right balushi - I've had enough of you and your trollish posting.

From now on I am permanently deleting all your posts here.

I have been as tolerant as it is possible to be both morally and legally. I don't care if you don't understand why your posts are trollish. As suggested, go and get your own blog, because your days of writing rubbish all over mine are over.

01 October, 2005 12:02  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

"..it must be agreed that defeating al-Qaida is an Arab and Islamic goal"

'It must' must it? Imposing America's agenda on others..co-opting taken to extremes. While putting down terrorism is highly commendable, offering proof of guilt was thought to be a pillar of anglo-saxon law. To-date, we have had no link between the 19 bombers and the former Iraqi regime. But fuhgedaboudit. Let's nuke the Ay-rabs! Whatever did happen to those WMD mega-stockpiles...


"... . The result of the battle against terrorism in Iraq is linked to stability in the Middle East"

Indeed it is. Let's hit Iran, Syria and..mebbe..Yemen(rising superpower there!!)next. While we're at it, how about Albania! Wag-the-dog time!

Al Qaeda - A bunch of has-been mujahidin left-overs running around in unwashed baggies in the mountains of central asia, issueing dire warnings via low-hit rate websites, and claiming to undertake actions totally unlinked to them. Posers at best now.

Hey honey, do we have the address of the guys who supplied em with the know-how?

Yes, dear

Bush, Cheney and Company,
Dubious, Texas
USA

01 October, 2005 14:25  
Blogger The Devil's Advocate said...

Guy, Guys, Guys

Regardless of whether Bush bombed Iraq or not or whether they arrested lots of innocents and held them without evidence or whatever the truth is we have a huge huge problem.

Even after the Iraq thing is over and all the suspected terrorists are cleared and Bush is replaced and Iran builds (or doesn't) it's nuclear reactor and Syria is wiped off the face of the earth WE WILL STILL HAVE A PROBLEM.

Stop focusing all your energies on Bush. Pretty much all of Earth agrees that he is an ass and he will get his comeuppance soon enough. But what are we going to do when he's gone? Blame his replacement? And when he's gone? Then what?

Our problems are here. In our neighbourhoods. In our schools and streets and mosques and churches and universities and malls and hotels. Right here. Focus.

01 October, 2005 14:38  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Just my opinion, Al-Quaeda is being the symbol of evil because their task is so up-front and visible. No country is innocent in terms of war. Some are more strategic and scheming than the others so their actions are not as visible as others. In politics, there is almost no good guys. That is why I am not too found of politicians. Unfortunately those with thick skins are the ones who stay alive, usually much longer than good ordinary people.

01 October, 2005 14:46  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

A sample definition of "troll"

- A person who regularly posts specious arguments, flames or personal attacks to a
newsgroup, discussion list, or in email for no other purpose than to
annoy someone or disrupt a discussion. Trolls are recognizable by
the fact that the have no real interest in learning about the topic
at hand - they simply want to utter flame bait. Like the ugly
creatures they are named after, they exhibit no redeeming
characteristics, and as such, they are recognized as a lower form of
life on the net, as in, "Oh, ignore him, he's just a troll."

01 October, 2005 15:26  
Blogger pixelsonic said...

I don't worry so much about the safety aspects of an attack happening in Dubai (could happen anywhere really) but if something did happen here the economic effects could devastating:

The stock market could crash overnight which means that both individuals and corporations would lose a PILE of money, which could stop alot of if not most of the development in the country very quickly. Then the knock on effects would mean that alot of companies would fold as people/invoices are not paid and lots of expate would be foreced to leave.

The government would lose alot of money as well as they are heavily invested in alot of projects.

Fortunately I just don't see why a large scale attack would ever happen here as both sides get to play in Dubai as long as they don't do anything illegal.

And if it's Saudi-style beheadings of foreigners that I have to worry about then actually I think the UAE authorities would do an excellent job containing that. People underestimate their abilities but I think that the security apparatus here likes it that way. Plus the smell of malicious political sentiment would likely be in the air long before such a thing would ever materialize.

01 October, 2005 16:27  
Blogger secretdubai said...

A sample definition of "troll"

- A person who regularly posts specious arguments, flames or personal attacks to a newsgroup, discussion list, or in email for no other purpose than to annoy someone or disrupt a discussion.


Bingo. Even if the person exhibiting trollish behaviour is genuinely too dense to realise it, it needs to be removed.

Quite apart from the fact that it is abhorrent, it is not even safe for me to allow pan-bigoted statements against the whole of Islam or Arabhood.

01 October, 2005 17:09  
Anonymous pasha said...

Whenever a country is the victim of a terrorist attack, it takes one of two two possible actions: by reacting brashly and aggressivly (a la USA), or studying the situation, assessing the REAL threat, and striking fast and efficiently to catch the bastards (a la UK).

If a terrorist EVER tried to hurt our beloved country or its (welcome) guests, I truly believe our people will exhibit the bravery and strength that the UK has shown. And may God have mercy on him, because I assure you nobody else will.

01 October, 2005 18:15  
Blogger Tim Newman said...

Whenever a country is the victim of a terrorist attack, it takes one of two two possible actions: by reacting brashly and aggressivly (a la USA), or studying the situation, assessing the REAL threat, and striking fast and efficiently to catch the bastards (a la UK).

Both actions have their merits and drawbacks, a combination of the two probably being the best overall. There is a third option though, one which Spain took: capitulate to the demands of the terrorists.

01 October, 2005 19:07  
Blogger Tim Newman said...

People underestimate their abilities but I think that the security apparatus here likes it that way.

I'd agree with this. In Kuwait, much of the judicial process is circumvented when dealing with terrorists, which makes the security forces far more effective at their job. It also removes any safeguard against killing the wrong guy.

Sadly, the US has thrown basic human rights in the bin in their approach to the apprehension of suspected terrorists (I'm talking about Guantanamo Bay here), and the UK is desperately trying to follow suit.

01 October, 2005 19:10  
Blogger Keefieboy said...

I would imagine that thwarting any major terrorist attack in Dubai is the absolute top priority for the authorities. If anything major attack did happen here it would be a complete and utter economic disaster for the emirate(s).

I believe they are doing everything that can be done, and yes, you don't go jumping up and down telling everybody about it.

I'm writing this having just seen the TV reports on the bombs in Bali tonight.

01 October, 2005 19:47  
Anonymous Kamona Niger said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

01 October, 2005 20:15  
Blogger pixelsonic said...

Yeah really it puzzles me why they are always targeting tourists in Bali of all places...of course the innocent deaths are deplorable but it's also a crying shame that the completely innocent balinese people are victimized just because they are an easier target to hit for the testicularly challenged terrorists than, say, the US or Australia.

01 October, 2005 22:33  
Blogger Emirati said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

01 October, 2005 23:40  
Blogger secretdubai said...

Last thing I wanted is heated slanging matches here, so I'm going to start deleting them. If someone starts a fight and someone responds - I'll obviously have to delete both posts.

So while someone deleted may not be the person who "started" the fight, they have to be deleted too, or it will look as though they are slanging at empty (ie deleted) air.

01 October, 2005 23:54  
Blogger Emirati said...

The fact remains that arab governments have had a history of sucessful waging of war in counterinsurgency campaigns. Massive allocations of resources go into internal security in this part of the world.

The government is able to fight a CI war effectively, because it knows what to do, training for Internal security has gone on for decades in the arab countries. A sophisticated Intelligence network (probably laced with Informants and undercover officers), a computerized telephone monitoring system, are some amongst other means the government uses to fight terrorism in the country.

The fact is that Al Qaeda was wiped off the UAE a long time ago, and heavy reorganizination and monitoring of the religious services (the Command and Control of these terrorist movements) has gone on.

Getting explosives in, also a problem, note that ETA supplied the SEMTEX used by the Madrid train bombers. Note that the london bombers also had bought their explosives and detonators from an arms dealer.

Hijacking has become difficult to impossible since airlines now have mandatory rules to prevent such occurences.

There are probably no AlQaeda Elements in the country, since they have no base or support structure from which to operate from. Local Al-Qaeda was taken care of in 01, that leaves us with the expats, which i doubt could get here in a large enough scale and be assisted enough to commit such an attack.

For the reasons of logistics, organization, support and sustainment, there can be no sizable al qaeda movement here and the likelyhood of a terrorist movement is next to none.

Drama Queens, who have no background in the study of military affairs (wink wink mr niger) should not be paid attention to.

01 October, 2005 23:59  
Blogger black feline said...

Paradise lost..again..my heart weeps for Bali..my favorite place to chill out..hope it rises again like the phoenix...3 bomb blasts yesterday at areas near Kuta (favorite hangout of the caucasians especially australians)Damn the JI terrorists!

02 October, 2005 07:51  
Blogger 1Desi said...

I remember an incident from a long time ago - a mosque in India was torn down by Hindu Extremists (and thousands of people lost their lives as a result, over a typical case of Dirty Politics & 'my God is better')

The muslims who came into (some of) the streets of Dubai (in protest) and into the hindu holy places here, were pacified and no-one - not a single non-muslim was harmed (more importantly, allowed to be harmed). The gov/authourities here were fantastic in the way they sorted out the whole situation. I'm witness to that fact.

During the 1st Gulf War, there was mass mania among expats (esp. western expats) with people staying away from malls and public places. I can remember adequate security (we had low-profile armed guards in my mainly-european high school) all over the place.

The reason why Doobai is what it is... The people and gov here in Doobai actually respect people from different walks of life and faiths. They value the diversity of the city, well aware of the history/trade the emirate has had with other nations over the past 100years (ie. its not just a marketing ploy).

Yes its close to all this madness. Still, if there ever was a safe place in the arab world today, this is it.

02 October, 2005 13:41  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

London was also a safe city once upon a time. Wake up, theres always a first time for something to happen. Yes Dubai is a safe place right now but NO place is safe enough.

06 October, 2005 00:34  

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